Market commentary is useful only when readers can distinguish evidence from inference.
This guide gives a practical labeling approach that keeps briefs clear and auditable.
Labeling model
- Fact: directly observed and sourced.
- Interpretation: reasoned inference from facts.
- Opinion: view with limited evidence support.
Step-by-step instructions
- Tag each statement by type.
- Keep fact lines source-linked.
- Place interpretations in Context with confidence labels.
- Move weakly supported statements to watch status.
- Re-test interpretations during weekly review.
Common mistakes & fixes
- Mistake: factual tone without evidence.
- Fix: require links for key claims.
- Mistake: interpreting beyond available data.
- Fix: state uncertainty explicitly.
- Mistake: no re-evaluation cycle.
- Fix: compare interpretations week over week.
If you want this done automatically
My Last Newsletter helps standardize intake so fact-versus-interpretation checks become routine.
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Disclaimers
Informational, not financial advice.